Aaron Burnett
@aaronburnett · Aug 20, 2026
1,000 launches/reentries is the goal. FAA was forecasting 385 by 2030 in their bull case. This is a statement by administration to start taking launch scale seriously.
For context, our conservative model estimating ~940 launches by SpaceX alone by 2030.
SpaceX publicly stated
Director Michael Kratsios@mkratsios47· Aug 20, 2026Today @POTUS signed a new National Space Transportation Policy, one that meets this moment of explosive growth and positions America to lead the next era of space.
In the 13 years since the last update to the Policy, U.S. launches have surged 10x: from 19 successful orbital
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
We’re aiming to reach 30+ Starship launches/day in 2030, which is ~10k annualized.
Still tiny numbers compared to airplane flights!
12:30 AM · August 21, 2026 · 165.4K views
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